Fed Minutes Confirms Fed Could Follow Through With Additional Tightening
The minutes from the October 31-November 1, 2023 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting acknowledged […]
RBA Minutes November 2023: It’s Mostly About Mindset
The RBA minutes contained little new information given recent publications and speeches. Inflation is not […]
Has Dollar Rally Run Its Course?
Dollar slides as investors pencil in 100bps worth of Fed rate cuts US economy is […]
Preserving the Gains and Timing the Turning Points
Australia appears to be further behind in the inflation and interest rate cycles than many […]
Yen Jeeps Sinking, Will Tokyo Intervene Again?
Japanese yen loses over 13% this year as interest rate differentials widen Risk of another […]
RBA Statement on Monetary Policy: Early Thoughts
The RBA’s November Statement on Monetary Policy upgrades the inflation and growth forecasts even with […]
Is the Geopolitical Rally in Gold Exhausted?
Gold prices retreat from recent highs, despite sharp drop in US yields It seems safe-haven […]
Eurozone Recession: Increasingly Possible, But Not Yet Inevitable
Summary The Eurozone has continued to deliver disappointing economic data as Q3 GDP shrank 0.1% […]
Could Surprise Indices Explain Market Movements?
Surprise indices are an easy way of mapping the current state of an economy Our […]
RBA Board Has Responded to Material Increase in Inflation Outlook
As we expected, the RBA Board raised the cash rate target by ¼ percentage point […]
Research US – Bond Yields Headed Lower Towards 2024
Bond market outlook remains blurred by high issuance, debt sustainability worries as well as uncertainty […]
Fed Review: Still on Track
The Fed maintained monetary policy unchanged in the November meeting as widely anticipated. We still […]